Digg - FiveThirtyEight: McCain's win chance down to 1.9%

409 Comments
Who Dugg It?

stephanemot, on 11/03/2008, -8/+91"It appears almost certain that Obama will capture all of the states won by John Kerry in 2008. Pennsylvania, while certainly having tightened somewhat over the course of the past two weeks, appears to be holding at a margin of about +8 for Obama, with very few remaining undecideds. Obama also appears almost certain to capture Iowa and New Mexico, which were won by Al Gore in 2000. Collectively, these states total 264 electoral votes, leaving Obama just 5 votes shy of a tie and 6 of a win"
- 80hd, on 11/04/2008, -8/+33Undecided=Wanting to vote for the guy that looks like a president but too distracted by the guy that sounds like a president to be sure.
  
  Obama '08!
- AtomicTheory, on 11/04/2008, -4/+31I had almost completely forgotten about Kerry's candidacy in the 2008 election.
- BasharTeg, on 11/04/2008, -1/+9I'd like to dedicate this election to this guy Robert J. Caldwell who authored this article titled "Red State Nation":
  
  http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1273832/p ...
  With this map of the counties that voted for Bush in 2004:
  http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20041107/i ...
  Mr. Caldwell, this election is for you. Welcome to Blue State Nation.
  - genezorz, on 11/05/2008, -1/+1im not really certain that this election is yours to dedicate to anyone.
- mrfoos2, on 11/04/2008, -75/+2I heard they are running drug tests before you can place your vote and anyone testing positive will be handcuffed behind the vote curtain. Go at your own risk. You were warned.
  - ayindisakg, on 11/04/2008, -1/+19I'm sorry but that is completely absurd. Do you know that to administer a marijuana drug scan test it costs roughly $400????
    
    find a credible news source for this statement please, and no matter what, please go vote mrfoos2.
  - NexusOne, on 11/04/2008, -0/+14Although possession of a controlled substance my be illegal, simply failing a test is not. Intoxication from a controlled substance is no more illegal than intoxication from alcohol.
    
    However if you are acting intoxicated you could be tested and charged with Public Intoxication.
    
    However this is not going on at the polls.
  - bruce86, on 11/04/2008, -1/+25I hear there are handing out free Popeyes fried chickens coupons and KFC giftcards at all the polling places. So make sure you go vote.
    
    Check and Mate.
  - ripismoney, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3In most cases even people who owe on taxes or have a foreclosed home can still vote. Do not give up your right to vote!
  - rowjimmy, on 11/05/2008, -1/+1@nexusone - "Intoxication from a controlled substance is no more illegal than intoxication from alcohol"
    actually, in many states and countries that is completely false - possession by intoxication is the official term for it. *****, i once almost got deported and banned from norway because of possession by intoxication (quite a while after the fact - i was no longer intoxicated, but they claimed that if i tested positive on a drug test that would prove that at one point in time i was guilty of possession by intoxication, which technically would have been a valid and legal reason to deport & ban me; thankfully i had proof that i had been out of the country within the time that the test would have reported positive and happily admitted to doing tons of drugs outside of norway that would invalidate the test)
  - Diganta, on 11/05/2008, -0/+3@mrfoos2 what you are doing is spreading false information and voter intimidation. Outstanding tickets and your so called drug tests done at the polling places are rumors spread by people like you to discourage voting.
    
    I thought when conservatives like you talked about going into Iraq, the words spreading freedom and democracy were the words used back then. Yet in our own election you taint that spirit of democracy and freedom by intimidating your fellow citizens with false and inaccurate information. The hypocrisy of your actions has not gone unnoticed.
    
    Having the flag as your profile image means nothing when you don't support the founding principles of patriotism in this country and standing up for democracy. You sir are a poser, wrapping yourself up in the American flag pretending that you want freedom and democracy, in reality you just want your conservative party to win at any cost. Damn fairness and clean elections.
- Sugarbayee, on 11/04/2008, -33/+0Goodness you all are crazy! IF Nobama gets elected this country will pay for years to come! Do you really know anything about the man you are voting for? Do you know his record? Do you even care? He will tax us all to death!
  Take a lesson from the following:
  Why I'm Voting Democrat
  
  I'm voting Democrat because --English has no place being the official
  language in
  America.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because --I'd rather pay $4 for a gallon of gas
  than
  allow drilling for oil off the coasts of America.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because-- I think the government will do a better job
  of
  spending my money than I
  could.
  
  I'm voting Democrat --because when we pull out of Afghanistan and Iraq, I
  know the Islamic terrorists will stop trying to
  kill us because they'll think we're a good and decent country.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because-- I believe people who can't tell us if
  it
  will
  rain in two or three days, can now tell us the
  polar ice caps will disappear in ten years if I don't start riding a
  bicycle, build a windmill or inflate my tires to proper levels.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because --it's all right to kill millions of babies
  as
  long as we keep violent, convicted murderers on death row
  alive.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because --I believe businesses in America should not be
  allowed to make profits.
  Businesses should just break even and give the rest to the government so
  politicians and bureaucrats
  can redistribute the money the way they think it should be redistributed.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because --I believe guns, and not the people misusing
  them, are the cause of crimes and killings.
  
  I'm
  voting Democrat because-- when someone with a weapon threatens my
  family
  or me, I know the government can
  respond faster through a call to 911 than I can with a gun in my
  hand.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because-- oil companies' 5% profit on a gallon of
  gas
  are obscene, but government taxes of 18%
  on the same gallon of gas are just fine.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because --I believe three or four elitist liberals
  should rewrite the
  Constitution every few months
  to suit some fringe element that could never get their agenda past voters.
  
  I'm voting Democrat because--- illegal aliens are not criminals, are not
  sucking up resources through government aid, hospital services, education,
  or social services, but are just people
  trying to make a better life by coming to America
  illegally.
  We can't blame
  them for that, can we?
  
  Signed,
  The Village Idiot
  - crawfishsoul, on 11/04/2008, -1/+14Hey douchebag, who let you out of the AOL Members Only pages?
  - OUberLord, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6Nice copy and paste job, way to express your opinion in your own words.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because --English has no place being the official language in America."
    I guess I just really don't care either way on this point.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because --I'd rather pay $4 for a gallon of gas than allow drilling for oil off the coasts of America."
    A) Gas is nearly below $2 a gallon now, way to keep up with the times, and B) raping our environmentally protected areas rather than even attempting to pursue technology which was proven to work two decades ago is silly.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat --because when we pull out of Afghanistan and Iraq, I know the Islamic terrorists will stop trying to kill us because they'll think we're a good and decent country."
    Considering the only reason there is anti-U.S. unrest in the region is *because* of our involvement in the Middle East, I can't see why it wouldn't be a step forward.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because-- I believe people who can't tell us if it will rain in two or three days, can now tell us the polar ice caps will disappear in ten years if I don't start riding a bicycle, build a windmill or inflate my tires to proper levels."
    Are you seriously this dense? Seriously? It's a simple equation, Properly Inflated Tires = More Efficient Operation = Less Gas Burned Overall = Less Pollutants. It only sounds stupid if you lack the mental capacity to understand the underlying point. Also, predicting weather patterns is different than predicting ice cap erosion based on decades of photographic evidence and other historical data.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because --it's all right to kill millions of babies as long as we keep violent, convicted murderers on death row alive."
    I maintain it should be a woman's right to choose to have an abortion or not. It's not like it is an easy decision or simple / cheap process to begin with.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because --I believe businesses in America should not be allowed to make profits.
    Businesses should just break even and give the rest to the government so politicians and bureaucrats
    can redistribute the money the way they think it should be redistributed."
    Way to overgeneralize.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because --I believe guns, and not the people misusing them, are the cause of crimes and killings."
    Cite what you are basing this off of.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because-- when someone with a weapon threatens my
    family or me, I know the government can respond faster through a call to 911 than I can with a gun in my hand."
    What, you can't defend your home unless you have an automatic weapon? What ever happened to using a traditional pistol or shotgun?
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because-- oil companies' 5% profit on a gallon of gas are obscene, but government taxes of 18% on the same gallon of gas are just fine."
    This has been par the course for the last decade, and isn't likely to change regardless of the administration.
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because --I believe three or four elitist liberals should rewrite the Constitution every few months to suit some fringe element that could never get their agenda past voters."
    Can you really make this point with a straight face, in light of the fact that the current administration has been completely raping the Constitution and what it stands for for years?
    
    "I'm voting Democrat because--- illegal aliens are not criminals, are not sucking up resources through government aid, hospital services, education, or social services, but are just people trying to make a better life by coming to America illegally."
    Again, cite your point.
    
    "Signed, The Village Idiot"
    No arguments here.
  - kh99, on 11/04/2008, -1/+8I'm voting Republican because I'm narrow-minded, self-centered, intolerant, greedy, and stupid enough to believe all the right wing propaganda I hear.
- dagnabbit, on 11/04/2008, -0/+13"So you're tellin me there's a chance....YEAH!!"
- batkins, on 11/04/2008, -1/+2I voted at 9 a.m. this morning ... Hey republicans, tell me how my ass tastes!
- MyDiggIsBig, on 11/05/2008, -1/+1i am never amazed how badly people can lie and manipulate the facts. 1%? you like pulling numbers out of your ass is that it? the media is underplaying McCain's strenght. Don't be suprised if Obama loses. And FYI, i dispise McCain, and don't support Obama either. just want to tell you how shameless propoganda is.
- vvortex3, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2Am I the only one using this to see which states voted for McCain and add them to my list of states to avoid indefinately?
USArugula, on 11/03/2008, -18/+1004This does not mean it's okay to skip voting.
- aussiejan, on 11/03/2008, -3/+168Nobody is allowed not to vote. This is it kids. The rest of us who can't vote are counting on you.
  - str1fe, on 11/04/2008, -0/+28This girl I go to school with is voting Obama because he has a cuter butt than John McCain. She's serious, too. Since I don't turn 18 until January, I just consider it as her voting in my place since she has a stupid ***** reason.
  - kobach, on 11/04/2008, -3/+4I'm a minor and you're telling me I'm not allowed to not vote?
    I'd love to but that's simply not an option.
  - conradtjbass, on 11/05/2008, -0/+0"This is it kids. The rest of us who can't vote are counting on you."
    =
    Those who can vote damn well better.
    
    If you can't, well that's what the rest of us who can are for. Do read please.
- gnocchi1442, on 11/04/2008, -2/+146No ***** -- that's why McCain still has 1.9%. Just in case people skip voting.
  - matthekc, on 11/04/2008, -3/+68The nice guy with the red pin on his shirt told me to vote Thursday...
  - daRoach, on 11/04/2008, -16/+2That's right, didn't you hear? Republicans vote Tuesday, Democrats vote Thursday.
- AhrenBa, on 11/04/2008, -8/+115Exactly! I get soooo pissed when I hear people say "I am not going to vote because I live in a strictly red (or blue) state and I vote the other way". It doesn't freaking matter! Voting is our responsibility and even a single vote causes voices to be heard.
  
  There is no excuse not to vote. Get your asses out there and cast your vote.
  
  Obama 08!
  - Frayed_Knot, on 11/04/2008, -35/+3It's more likely that I'll get killed in a car accident on the way to the polls than my vote mattering in MA.
    
    Even in the extremely unlikely scenario where MA's electoral votes are decided by a margin of one vote, it's unlikely that those 7 electoral votes will matter. And even if they did, recent history shows that the matter will be decided in the courts.
    
    Even if I lived in Florida for the 2000 election, the margin was 517 votes. My vote wouldn't have mattered.
    
    It would be a wiser use of my gas money to buy a lottery ticket.
  - billybillyboy, on 11/04/2008, -0/+24Or the fact that their are state and local elections and propositions, that will actually have a direct influence on your life, unlike the federal elections....
  - FastZ, on 11/04/2008, -23/+11I'm not voting because I don't give a *****.
  - Zenham, on 11/04/2008, -3/+19You. Out of the gene pool. Now.
  - daRoach, on 11/04/2008, -0/+14Why is he wrong for not voting because he doesn't give a *****? If anything I don't want him to vote because he doesn't give a *****.
  - zip000, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I live in Georgia, and I think it is possible - though a stretch - that we will go for Obama. When it is as close as this, your vote really counts, and who would have thought even a few months ago that Obama could come this close to taking Georgia. I mean in many polls the McCain lead is only a point or two here. Amazing.
  - pazimzadeh, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2You think you're special with thoughts like that? If you and some friends with similar opinions get together and talk to some people you can make a difference. Don't be stupid.
  - batkins, on 11/04/2008, -1/+1Frayed_Knot; I live in massachusetts too and while I know that my vote won't necessarily account for that much I made sure that I voted for two reasons: 1) if everyone had your ***** ass attitude then nobody would vote, (or get anything done for that matter) and 2) There are other important issues on our ballot today.
    
    Senators, house representatives, and the propositions
    
    2 very important propositions (1) voting on whether to eliminate the state income tax and 2) voting whether to decriminalize marijuana)
    
    Among other things. Don't be lazy just vote. Vote or die!
    
    Also Massachusetts has 12 electoral votes, not 7! I bet you're the type of retard that thinks there's only 49 states as well (amazingly enough I've encountered not 1 but 3 individuals in the last year that were all over the age of 18 and believed this to be true!)
    
    I hope you waste all of your money on lottery tickets, it would serve you right.
  - satanguy, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1that's the exact attitude that keeps a state red or blue
- dave122, on 11/04/2008, -26/+16“I don't vote. Two reasons. First of all it's meaningless; this country was bought and sold a long time ago. The ***** they shovel around every 4 years *pfff* doesn't mean a ***** thing. Secondly, I believe if you vote, you have no right to complain. People like to twist that around – they say, 'If you don't vote, you have no right to complain', but where's the logic in that? If you vote and you elect dishonest, incompetent people into office who screw everything up, you are responsible for what they have done. You caused the problem; you voted them in; you have no right to complain. I, on the other hand, who did not vote, who in fact did not even leave the house on election day, am in no way responsible for what these people have done and have every right to complain about the mess you created that I had nothing to do with.” George Carlin
  
  I can't say it any better than that.
  - FastZ, on 11/04/2008, -15/+6If I could digg you up more than once, I would.
  - JKGuy16, on 11/04/2008, -3/+7I love George Carlin, I really do. His logic is usually always flawless. However, if you don't feel either of the mainstream candidates are competent (like i do), vote 3rd party. My candidate a year ago was Ron Paul. He endorses Chuck Baldwin of the Constitution Party.
    
    I did my research on all the candidates and Baldwin has the majority of the same beliefs as myself. Obviously I don't believe in everything he does, but that's true for everyone.
    
    If more people would open their eyes and break away from the brain washing taking place that says you have to vote Donkey or Elephant, we might get some REAL change in this country instead of the clear direction of socialism we are currently going to get.
- TunaFishGangsta, on 11/04/2008, -7/+18If you don't vote. McCain will win.
  
  538 is a business. It's goal is to make money. It is not a true gauge of who will win the election. Only the votes count, or should count, in the election.
  
  This means that if you don't vote, and bring your friends to vote, and bring everyone to vote.. then you will be screwed anally for the next 4 years without lube.
  - dave122, on 11/04/2008, -12/+10that's going to happen no matter who wins this election...
    
    /gets dugg down.
  - daRoach, on 11/04/2008, -4/+4But what if I'm voting for McCain?
  - TunaFishGangsta, on 11/04/2008, -3/+1@daRoach
    
    If you are voting for McCain/Palin then you're likely one of those people that volunteers to by tied up in bondage and have needles stuck through their nipples and scrotum... a masochistic sadist.
    
    Seek therapy.
  - daRoach, on 11/04/2008, -1/+3I'm sorry, I thought this was America.
  - batkins, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2It is... unfortunately people have the choice to be morons.
- ray4389, on 11/04/2008, -11/+2Don't vote everybody!
- atomicnoodle, on 11/04/2008, -8/+3As long as you vote for Obama right? :)
  
  McCain voters shouldn't vote. Voting is anti-COMMUNIST.
  - sguasp, on 11/04/2008, -1/+3As an AVID Obama supporter, I encourage EVERYONE to go vote. Even McCain/Palin voters. It's our responsibility as a nation. I'm sorry that so many republicans are left with a bad taste in their mouth after encountering democrats who DON'T agree with me.
    
    Plus, I want every last one of you to vote, so there is NO DOUBT IN YOUR MIND that Obama is the better man for the job in the end. :)
    
    I voted Obama. That doesn't mean that you should too.
    
    Though I AM offering BJs if you take a pic with your ballot showing a vote cast for Obama. :) Not to be bias or anything. But yea.
- CCoe, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6No one has ever won a poll.
- satanguy, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1the world is watching you america!
  
  don't stuff up!
123Phi, on 11/03/2008, -35/+3Hold 'em, anyone?
- stonebear, on 11/04/2008, -0/+11No thanks; they seem fine the way they are.
JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -21/+460Nothing happens unless you vote. I live in OK, the reddest state in the Union other than Idaho and I will not leave that line tomorrow. Why,

- Because OK has only been polled a few times and no one really knows what the numbers are like

- Because we need to kick Jim Inhofe and the other Bush cronies out of office (I am talking to you MN, TX, MS, GA, KY, NH, OR and NH!

- Because there will be stolen votes and the only way to combat that is with more votes

- Because the election could still be close and only a mandate will keep the freepers to a minimum on the conspiracy theories.

- Because my vote in OK will remind people in the west to get their butts out there and not let the East Coast and the Midwest decide the election

- Because only a mandate will show the Republican party that we will not stand for corruption and cronyism taking over our country again!

- Because we will not be lied to

- Because COMPLACENCY LOSES ELECTIONS

Vote and call EVERYONE on your contact list. Our future depends on it!

And STFIL (Stay the F**k in Line)
- jahil, on 11/04/2008, -1/+29Great post! Makes me proud to be an american!
- scubaman5000, on 11/04/2008, -1/+30Shouldn't you be JenniferinOK?
  - pintomp3, on 11/04/2008, -1/+18the MO stands for Moral Outrage.
  - rossnyc, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5Middle Oklahoma?
    
    Mother's Orifice? (just kidding, I like you jeninMO)
  - YogiWanKenobi, on 11/04/2008, -0/+11I am Jennifer's Moral Outrage
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -2/+20lol. We moved to OK from Missouri this summer. I was not happy about leaving a swing state before the election, but we couldn't turn down an offer we had here. Other than the politics, the people here are wonderful. (I love "Moral Outrage")
- samseide, on 11/04/2008, -0/+29I live in OK as well. Stood in line over an hour to vote. You have no excuse to not get out and vote! Check with your local state laws but I know that in Oklahoma you're allowed up to a 2 hour window to leave work and go vote, if you come back to work with proof you voted, they have to pay you as if you were on the clock. No excuses, let your voice be heard!
  - mywhitenoise, on 11/04/2008, -0/+14There's a 2 hour window law in CA as well...however, they're not giving me it. I'm pissed off.
  - publiclurker, on 11/04/2008, -0/+10Is your company big enough to file complaint anonymously with the election board? Anyone who would deny their employees their legal entitlements to vote would probably not behave in an ethical fashion if reported.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+9I live in a nice white suburb outside of Tulsa and we got into the polls right away. We then drove up to North Tulsa where the residents are mostly black and we saw lines all over the place. We took 30 cases of water to ONE polling place, and people still need help up there. Anyone near North Tulsa, please take water and folding chairs for the elderly. Right now!
  - mywhitenoise, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1I work for the State, you would think they would be okay with it. I want to argue about it, but I'm not sure if it's worth losing my job over it.
- lisaawesome, on 11/04/2008, -1/+13RAmen sister. People in Oklahoma act like their vote doesn't count but it's this kinda of negative attitude that hands election after election to Republicans who do nothing but harm our state. We've got to fight to take control of our state and our own interests.
  - staffell, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3mmm ramen
- myranttoyou, on 11/04/2008, -8/+3TX is more red than OK
  - Zenham, on 11/04/2008, -1/+10Nah, Texas is pretty red but Oklahoma beats it. Something to do with a lack of a viable education system and the fundamentalist undertow consuming all thinking minds.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4Not in Presidential the polls. According to the polls the only state favoring McCain more than Oklahoma is Utah.
  - PlaztikJeezus, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4OK is much redder....
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4@Zenham: Not ALL thinking minds :-)
    
    I don't quite have my finger on it yet, but the fundamentalist thing is huge. At least as strong as in Southern Missouri. People here tell me "we're not political" and they are not kidding. No one in Tulsa talks about politics at all. I have seen 2 bumper stickers (both for Obama) and before today a total of 2 yard signs. Today the yard signs cropped up. We counted 20 of them on a short drive to North Tulsa. I don't understand what "we're not political means." What it does is keep people ignorant of the issues, but I have to be careful about being the new guy trying to push for change. Most of my efforts have focused on Missouri. We have gone back and canvassed a few times.
  - BorsKaegel, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Alabama has both Texas and Oklahoma beat.
    
    People here even paint their brick houses red to make them redder, and fly in red airplanes.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2I have been watching the polls for months just hoping that they would change here. Oklahoma, Utah and Idaho are the three reddest states in terms of this Presidential election. Utah has edged out Oklahoma, but just with a drop of blue. Alabama certainly close. Not that I want to argue that I live in the most brainless place (IMHO), but it is the sad truth.
- Sraza, on 11/04/2008, -0/+21Texan voting for Obama here. I have no hopes of this state going blue but I'll still be there after work, voting.
  
  If enough of us here vote against what has been happening then maybe they'll stop with the crazy fear mongering.
  
  Great post!
  - dorkdork777, on 11/04/2008, -0/+15As someone who lives not just outside of TX, but outside of the USA, hats off to you! The rest of the world is counting on America to vote Obama - seriously, it seems everyone I talk to here in England is pro-Democrat.
  - CarolineAttack, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7Another Texan for Obama!
    
    I don't think Texas will turn blue this election either, but its coming in another couple election cycles. Take away GWB's home state advantage, and polling suggests less than a 15 point lead for republicans. That can be overturned one day.
    
    Plus.. Austin, Dallas & San Antonio all have Democratic majorities and Obama is polling +6 in Houston, at least our votes can make a huge difference in local races.
    
    The biggest victory though is the fact that Democrats may very well take back the majority in the Texas house tonight!
  - Batfishy, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I'm a Texan voting for Obama. I wasn't born in Texas though. Do I still count?
    
    (Texans still call me a Yankee and I've lived here since 1986)
  - Sraza, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2I did vote Obama. Tarrant county where I'm at now is 54-45 mccain but my old county, wher my heart is, of Travis in Austin is 66-33 Obama
    
    Go Austin! haha
- dajuggernaut, on 11/04/2008, -0/+10dugg for STFIL
  - Lukesed, on 11/04/2008, -7/+3Shut the ***** Illinois?
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4I can't take credit. A DK diarist wrote a piece on it the other day. I loved it too!
  - darlingt, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5@Lukesed: Stay The ***** In Line
- ShooterMcGavin, on 11/04/2008, -0/+17Dang... I live in Idaho and am STILL voting for Obama. Who knows, maybe we'll show up a little better, but don't count on it .
  
  In fact, I saw this sign the other day, "Pray for a christian in the white house".
  
  Uh... Captain Information... they're BOTH Christians.
  
  I apologize in advance for my state.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5Me too! I want so badly for Oklahoma to be a part of this historic day, and my husband and I are in our little way, but some places will take a little longer. At least we did our little part by working it for Obama here and voting so that the margin will be closer than without us. Shooter (love your name by the way -- great movie), I am glad you live in Utah. It takes a few people like you and me to plant the seeds of hope and change.
  - etherreal, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I live in Idaho too. While it is indeed the reddest state in the nation, I really think Idaho could one day swing Libertarian. We may be red, but we are small government conservatives here. After all, Ron Paul took nearly 25% in the primary here (not that the Idaho MisStatesman would care to report that).
    
    I voted Bob Barr and Kent Marmon BTW.
    
    Sadly, I also voted for Bill Sali, but I really did not want to.
  - breadfred, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1@etherreal: just curious, why did you vote for someone who you do not really want to vote for?
  - etherreal, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2Because that would have meant voting for Walt Minnick....which is even worse.
- FreddieD, on 11/04/2008, -0/+8Don't forget there are big reasons to vote other than the president. Even if your vote feels like a throwaway because you're in a deep red or deep blue state, you still have your US congressman, possibly a US senator, possibly a governor and your state senators and congressmen.
  
  Issues like education are absolutely huge at the local level.
- Beakerz, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7I'm in OK as well, and my change of address got screwed so i get to drive 3 hours from OKC to Bartlesville to vote. Oh well its worth it.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5You Rock! Sounds like a real pain, but stories like yours and the people who flew home from India to cast their vote all show how important it is. We are all part of this peaceful revolution for change. Those 2 tanks of gas and the time spent remind us of how important our votes are.
- Rotzooi, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4Thanks for voting!
- ddrussianinja, on 11/04/2008, -0/+0You said NH twice...
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4I meant NC. I was getting too wound up!
- johnnyboy239, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2Thank you, many people have had good posts today, yours is the best i've seen
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Thanks! Have you voted yet? If not, get away from the computer and vote!
    
    It was so wonderful to vote but it went quickly and easily for us. We got right in and the ballot was easy, short and it was a paper ballot that was optically scanned (not one of those horrid machines we hear about). My husband and I left the polls physically shaking because we were prepared for anything and it turned out too easy.
  - johnnyboy239, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1Sure did, Voted at 9:00 A.M, My experience sounds much the same as yours. Paper Ballot, Easy to Scan, and only about a 45 minute wait. Currently Waiting on Franken/Coleman who are within 300 Votes
- podforpeace, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Here in OK. Yesseree this Okie transplant from CA has her Obama Biden signs out and a few others in my 'mc' neighborhood. Seen a few McCain Palin signs (and you know where they are). Voted Friday the 31st, it took a little over an hour. Went quite smoothly with a lot of help. Will be driving around with my new magnet to check if my neighborhood voted, most said it wasn't worth it "it'll stay they same". No way!! It is time to change and see how many Repubs we will vote out. Am so proud to know OK diggers are here too. Hooray!
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1You don't happen to live in Ponca City do you?
  - izolutionz, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2I'm on my way.. and to all those mcinsane fans trying to discourage people to vote... suck it!
  - podforpeace, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Am here is Muskogee. The horns are blowing. People are out and happy. Lots of activity in the neighborhood that normally stays quiet and out of the way. People are piling in cars and going the church to vote (the religious right is very powerful here).
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1@podforpeace. I have a friend in Ponca City who moved here a year ago from CA. She has learned to keep her politics to herself. We are in Broken Arrow and we have to walk on egg shells, but we push whenever we can.
  - lisaawesome, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2At a major intersection in Edmond some folks were holding Obama signs reminding everyone to vote. It was great.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1@lisaawesome: That is wonderful! I do have one nice story:
    
    When the Obama office opened here in Tulsa a few months ago my husband and I thought we should go. We expected a couple of idealistic college kids with a relish tray and a big empty office. We thought we should show our support.
    
    The hours were from 10 a.m. to 8 p.m. We showed around 1:00 p.m. and they had just passed 1,500 people on the sign-in sheet! It was a wonderful, diverse packed office. People of all ages, some drove in from outside of town, there were people of all ethnic backgrounds, but there were probably more white suburban types than anything. People were busy signing up for shifts, buying signs (although I don't know where they went. I have seen few signs from both signs). It was a beautiful experience.
- Jaliyl, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3MN here. I voted for Franken. I hope Coleman is tried and jailed for the ***** of bribes he took.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2I love Al Franken. I hope he wins. He will really be a breath of fresh air to the Senate. He is a smart guy and he is in it for all the reasons. He already has money and fame. He isn't a power hungry guy. He just wants to make a difference.
- first2di3, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4Another Oklahoman here,
  
  Me and my wife both voted today, both for Obama.
  
  Oklahoma has been a red state for too many years, its time our tampon got changed!
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3I would have opted for a different metaphor, but I certainly agree with the sentiment.
- blueRAP, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2Doesn't Inhofe give off that same angry old man vibe McCain does? Sheesh his commercials were scary
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1He is awful. He pulled a cheezy Willie Horton commercial here, but I guessed it worked. We are stuck with him for another 6 years. The only good thing about it is that he has been emasculated by this election. He is no longer the power broker he thought he was. Same goes for Mitch McConnell.
DeadFox1, on 11/04/2008, -35/+14bear with me for a second.. could it be possible that this website has been setup by the repugs? They may be trying to pull the wool over our eyes. Who is is the domain registered to? i am high, so that also makes me PARANOID right now.
- toetagger, on 11/04/2008, -1/+24http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight
  
  When you're high, Wikipedia is your friend. Nate Silver was on Keith Olberman Monday.
- 80hd, on 11/04/2008, -1/+10I'm somewhat paranoid too after the last two elections.
  
  But this website checks out pretty well. Let's just hope that Limbaugh's predictions about polls are exactly wrong.
  
  I really love that the news won't shutup about the race tightening even though every poll shows the opposite :)
  - kidathinnes, on 11/04/2008, -1/+6Its all about the ratings. The more people think it going to be close, the more people stay glued to their tvs.
  - pintomp3, on 11/04/2008, -2/+10didn't limbaugh claim he could never support mccain? oh right, he's a hypocritical fat drug addict.
  - dave122, on 11/04/2008, -8/+4didn't biden say obama wasn't experienced enough to be president? He's such a hypocritical long winded *****. See what I did there?
  - Unrealevil, on 11/04/2008, -1/+4Yes, Dave, everybody saw what you did. Nobody thinks it's clever but you.
  - dave122, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1it's funny how people digg things down simply because they don't like it rather than it's truth, digg humors me.
- Sithlrd, on 11/04/2008, -1/+4Just because you're paranoid, doesnt mean the are not out to get you.
- falstaff, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2The guy's a Democrat (seems like all the good baseball analysts are), so I don't agree with him on a fair number of issues, but he's a statistician first, and a really smart guy.
  As with any righty today, I think there are a few reasons to distrust the specifics of the polls, but I think the overall message is clear. Obama has this one wrapped up.
- macattak420, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1dude it sucks that u get paranoid u honestly should not be trying to worry about ***** just chill and relax. I am not stoned right now but have multiple times in the past year... month... week
kw7777777, on 11/04/2008, -12/+37GOTV for Obama! If you live in WA state.....PLEASE! Help GOTV for Gregoire and Burner!
- Dimbleby, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I live in OR....WA/OR are fine.....I'm making calls to OH and FL. ANd whaterever else is available!
  - Zenham, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2Not so sure, Smith and Merkely is a very tight race in OR.
  - Whaines, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2Smith would like you to think that, but it's nearly certain Merkley will take it.
- DangerCollie, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I didn't realize it was that close. Used to work for Christine years ago, can't imagine she's in trouble. Talk about tough as nails.
- langdonalger, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3no matter how many years i am politically active and see that acronym, despite knowing what it means, i will never stop thinking "what the hell is go tv?" when i see that.
  - publiclurker, on 11/04/2008, -1/+2Get Out The Vote?
- LiquidIse, on 11/04/2008, -4/+3I know this is partially off topic, but Gregoire? Really?
  
  I voted for Obama but Rossi is such a better candidate
  - BadseedJR, on 11/04/2008, -4/+5I agree completely. Gregoire is worthless. Don't vote for someone just because of party affiliation. That is completely asinine.
  - PReitz, on 11/04/2008, -2/+5Yes, really. Remember us...the east side of the state? When my neighborhood was burning to the ground Gregoire flew over here, so I guess she remembers us.
  - thirdeyeopen, on 11/04/2008, -3/+4I voted for Rossi. I also voted for Obama. I pretty much went down the line and voted against the incumbent.
  - ratbear, on 11/04/2008, -1/+5Rossi is anti-public transit and doesn't care about King county. That alone should make you vote Gregoire, no matter how distasteful you find it.
  - tdogg241, on 11/04/2008, -1/+4Gregoire isn't perfect, but I think she's been a perfectly competent governor. Rossi, on the other hand, has *ridiculous* ideas for transportation, hates a woman's right to choose and their right to birth control, would veto any legislation legalizing gay marriage, and basically spent his entire campaign smearing Gregoire instead of talking about why he's the better candidate. Add to that the fact that I think he's a ***** snake and you get a pretty good idea of who I voted for. How someone could vote for both Obama and Rossi is beyond me.
    
    If I lived in the 8th CD I'd definitely vote for Burner as well. Oh well, it fills me with glee each time I get to vote for Jim McDermott.
  - acex23, on 11/04/2008, -2/+1I'm stoked to see I wasn't the only one who thinks Greggy is incompetent.
- CrushThemTorg, on 11/04/2008, -4/+2If Gregoire loses to Dino Rossi, she'll probably just eat him out of rage.
- Johnagain, on 11/04/2008, -3/+7We can't afford gregoire...
  the greg budget has us lined up to be 3 billion in debt in 3 years
  the greg administration got the less expensive monrail canceled (that votes approved 3 times) and got us the billions overbudget light rail, which nobody voted for. Explain that!?
  the greg administration wants higher taxes instead of more efficient government
  
  If Rossi does nothing other than balance or budget, I will be happy, because greg can't seem to do it.
  - tdogg241, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Gregoire had nothing to do with monorail getting killed. It was put up to a vote for the FIFTH time and was finally voted down after passing four previous times. Yes, it would have been less expensive (though the project was greatly underfunded, hence the fifth vote on the measure), but it was only going to serve Seattle, while light rail is going to be a regional transportation system. I wasn't happy that the monorail was killed, but what we're going to get is so much better.
    
    BTW, since you don't seem to have all your facts in order, Prop. 1 is to increase funding for light rail to get it to Northgate, Federal Way, Bellevue, and Redmond. That's not mentioning the initial votes back in the mid/late-90s to increase sales tax to start funding the project. If that's not voting on it, I don't know what is.
    
    Meanwhile, Rossi somehow thinks he can replace the 520 bridge with an 8-lane alternative that will cost less than WSDOT's preferred 6-lane alternative, which defies common sense. He wants to replace the Viaduct with a cut-and-cover tunnel, which, while ideal, is vastly more expensive than the other alternatives. That money's gotta come from somewhere, and he plans on taking it from the state general fund which pays for insignificant things like education and healthcare. He is astoundingly anti-transit and wants to open up HOV lanes during the day to single-occupancy vehicles. His transportation plan is ridiculous, reckless, and has been blasted by a number of WSDOT and transportation officials.
    
    Add to that his disregard for women's rights, the fact that he'd veto legislation legalizing gay marriage, and my general distaste for the man, and you have a pretty good idea who I voted for. As for the coming deficit, I'm much more confident in Gregoire's ability to handle it appropriately.
  - tdogg241, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Also, for the record, the Central Link of light rail is set to open on time and under budget by over $100m.
    
    http://seattletransitblog.com/2008/05/13/link-unde ...
    
    (The actual amount was closer to $128m I believe.)
- zoom1928, on 11/04/2008, -2/+1Wow, a positive reply here about a Microsoft cultist. You need to do more research on Darcy Burner's horrible background before posting to a site like this that typically has more informed people. She was one of the people responsible for the .NET scam.
- cjnkns, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1I think you mean - GOTFV bitches!
toetagger, on 11/04/2008, -6/+20: )
- OneEyedParrot, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1:-D
fishbeef33, on 11/04/2008, -4/+61...which is just where he wants to be. He's the underdog maverick, you know.
- 80hd, on 11/04/2008, -1/+26you betcha!
- FredFredrickson, on 11/04/2008, -3/+25I've never heard of a contest between a younger black guy and a rich, old white guy where the white guy is called the underdog. Maybe Jordan vs. Bird... but that's it.
- syntheticfth, on 11/04/2008, -3/+11Should have gone with the Double Maverick or Sad Grandpa IMHO
  - Unrealevil, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Bush is going double maverick now.
- burnin8r28, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1America is like a small child. It needs it's Barack-oli
- notanidiot, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1He must want to lose then, because thats where he is now! Gobama!
brcane, on 11/04/2008, -2/+63This is by far my favorite poll compilation site online, and I thought that even before I found out that the founder is a stat junkie for baseball prospectus. Even though the sites author are proactive in disclosing their donkey favoring tendencies, as a republican I can say that the scientific neutrality is the at the leading edge of their analysis. You gotta love the irony of a baseball statistics methodology being seemingly more advanced then comparable political commentary.
- MxM111, on 11/04/2008, -12/+5"as a republican I can say that the scientific neutrality is the at the leading edge of their analysis."
  
  Do you think that being republican somehow gives you more weight in detecting scientific neutrality? If anything it is the republican candidates who rose hands as in "I do not believe in evolution". It is republicans who chant "Drill baby! Drill!" and think that global warming is not real.
  
  Not all of republican, of course, but in such statements as you made above, being republican is more like a minus. GOP has to do lots of rational thinking to get their reputation back.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7I believe brcane was complimenting the site in spite of the fact that it shows his candidate losing big time. Pointing out that he is a Republican was intended to show that his comments are not biased, i.e. that even a person with an opposing view appreciates the site.
  - rivsgivsmeshivs, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3@MxM11 - To me, it sounded like brcane was saying that even though he (or she) is a repub, and the authors of the site are dems, they're impressed by the neutrality of the site. So, they're not seeing any political bias in the stats.
  - tdogg241, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3He was pointing out that he doesn't see any bias in the site's methodology despite the fact that the site's authors are democrats. I have to say I agree with him.
- izolutionz, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5these guys predicted the rays would do well when no one else did... and voila... they ended up in the world series!
nickels, on 11/04/2008, -3/+76I've been monitoring that site since the beginning. If Obama loses I'll never look at another poll as long as I live.
- crimsonalucard, on 11/04/2008, -2/+9If obama loses it means their was cheating going on.
  - JenniferInMO, on 11/04/2008, -0/+11there
- KaseyCarbone, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2If Obama loses, all future polls will be overseen by Karl Rove, and people who answer the questions wrong will be sent to a mandatory corporate-run reeducating facility for a minimal fee of everything they own.
- Gimli, on 11/05/2008, -1/+1Polls are worthless and should be taken with a grain of salt. They are a leading indication on how the vote is PROBABLY going to go, not on how the vote is ACTUALLY going to go. I remember about 10 or 12 years ago a person was running for the Mayor of Livonia (Dugan was her name I think) and was outspending and out campaigning the other candidate, but end up losing the election. Even though it was just an election for Mayor ever since then I look at the polls with some skepticism and the way this screwy electoral college works it's really anyone's election to win or lose. I personally voted for McCain and have let it been known to everyone who I voted for, but I wonder how many people are saying they're voting for Obama but are secretly voting for McCain?
benman587, on 11/04/2008, -10/+2001.9% is still too much. Get off digg and go vote!
- mywhitenoise, on 11/04/2008, -0/+40It's at 1.1% now.
  Still, I can't wait to throw in my vote. Let's make history tonight!
- str1fe, on 11/04/2008, -1/+3Those of us, like me, who are just a couple months shy of voting age are counting on the rest of you to not ***** up the country we're going to inherit. I can't vote, but if you can and haven't, go vote!!
  
  Obama / Biden 08!
  - RetlawST, on 11/05/2008, -0/+3That was me during the 2000 election. I you don't get let down as badly as I was!
- notanidiot, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1Now its 0.0%
thenekkidtruth, on 11/04/2008, -4/+65And there's more . . . Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight is not just any aggegator. He takes ALL combined polls, filters them through his own matrix constructed from a mainframe full of facts, THEN runs 10,000 modelling scenarios 3 times every day based on all that information.

Which makes Nate the most accurate analyst with the best track record to ever comment on an election. His models are actually skewed quite conservatively - if he says 1.9%, it's probably more likely to be .03%.
- 80hd, on 11/04/2008, -0/+31.03% is a tight race. If you watch TV news.
  
  I'm so sick of the way that from FOX to CNN, they are all trying to pretend that this potential landslide victory is actually a horserace..
  - pintomp3, on 11/04/2008, -2/+17ratings. a 269/269 tie would be their dream come true.
  - lordgibbon, on 11/04/2008, -0/+13And a nightmare for our country, regardless of affiliation.
  - mywhitenoise, on 11/04/2008, -0/+11Same with Yahoo! News.
    "Obama shows a strong lead, but McCain might not be as far behind as you think." Are you kidding me?
  - Stavrosian, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2Potential landslide or not, I'll be nervous until they call it. Please don't let another one get away, Dems.
- MxM111, on 11/04/2008, -8/+3"Which makes Nate the most accurate analyst... His models are actually skewed quite conservatively..."
  Don't you think that your first statement contradict the second one?
  - Schmapdi, on 11/04/2008, -0/+15Conservatively meaning he's cautious and tight with the numbers, not conservative-leaning.
  - publiclurker, on 11/04/2008, -1/+9I don't think he means conservative as in neocon, but conservative as in not going out on a branch.
- otakushark, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5There's no guarantee people will vote the way they said they would in the polls, and a few percent turnout one way or the other could make the difference. Go vote now, don't trust any polls!
- Tegurit34, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2Long Live Nate Silver
thenekkidtruth, on 11/04/2008, -13/+25Yo, yo, yo . . . that would be ".03%" as in "McCain has a .03% chance of becoming president of the United States while Barack Obama has a 99.97% chance", and yes, Nate factors in approx 5 million voters who are cheated out of their constitutional rights by Republican dirty tricks.
It is NOT a "horserace". It IS a landslide. And it IS not only a mandate, but the most overwhelming one in decades.
- falstaff, on 11/04/2008, -1/+13So you're saying there's a chance....
- billybillyboy, on 11/04/2008, -1/+7You might want to actually check some of the previous elections before making the statement "most overwhelming in decades."
  
  '96 Clinton: 379 electoral votes
  '92 Clinton: 370
  '88 Bush: 426
  '84 Reagan: 525
  
  This is not a horserace, but historically, I doubt it will be labeled a landslide, other than by over excited talking heads....
  - Schmapdi, on 11/04/2008, -1/+4While I agree that Obama has to have a really good night for it to be a "landslide" - all but one of the races you listed features an incumbent president (or VP). Those tend to be not so close. The first Clinton race was the one with Perot in there, although I'm not sure what that'd do to the numbers really -but it's not a "normal" race either.
  - billybillyboy, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Good point, although in the last such scenario (2004), GWB only got 286. I was only trying to frame what I see as the likely outcome (Obama with somewhere between 300-330, at most 55% of the pop vote) in its historical context. Those numbers are by no means a landslide in the classical sense. Also, it is more "normal" for and incumbent to be in the race.
AnotherDiggGuy, on 11/04/2008, -95/+23This will make it that much better if McCain pulls out a win.

"Against all odds, an American war veteran pulls a W against the long awaited self-proclamed Messiah"
- MeatMountain, on 11/04/2008, -10/+14STFU NOOB
  - AnotherDiggGuy, on 11/04/2008, -3/+5Where do you think you are, World of Warcraft?
- the2989, on 11/04/2008, -9/+28"self-proclamed Messiah"
  
  ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** ***** *****.
  - AnotherDiggGuy, on 11/04/2008, -12/+5"This guy was president before I was . . . This guy was God before I was.”
    
    – Barack Obama -in reference to Morgan Freeman’s portrayal in “Deep Impact" and “Bruce Almighty”
    
    Sounds pretty self proclaimed to me :)
  - dorkdork777, on 11/04/2008, -1/+7...and does he ever mention that becoming president would somehow make him God?
  - AnotherDiggGuy, on 11/04/2008, -3/+4Well, since that's not what the quote implies... no
  - TheNik, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4God isn't a messiah, that would be Jesus. LOGIC FAIL. Plus Obama is a real, living person that exists.
  - justkidney, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1obama has a sense of humor... unlike you, AnotherDiggGuy.
- FredFredrickson, on 11/04/2008, -5/+39Obama, nor any of his supporters, have ever called him the messiah. Only petty, jealous conservatives have called him that, because in their small minds, they can't see how we find hope in Obama. Maybe someday they will, but for many, it's hopeless.
- Jhonka, on 11/04/2008, -5/+12I almost ignored the comment, ALMOST did a republican make a statement without throwing in an insult or lie... So close. I was like "Wow, a conservative viewpoint that isnt offen- wait..."
- rjejr, on 11/04/2008, -11/+3Gotta admit, I've called him the Messiah. Well not "the messiah" actually, just Khan. Not Ghengis, Noonian Singh i.e. Ricardo Montalban, he of the war to wipeout mankind, i.e. the white race. Not that there's anything wrong with that.
- orlandogeek, on 11/04/2008, -2/+9I fail to see how an average middle-class person as AnotherDiggGuy probably is can identify with the current ideology that has hijacked the Republican party. These people don't give a ***** about the average person's welfare, yet they still get rabid support from normal everyday Americans. I don't understand it.
  
  People need to wake up. When the Neo-Conservatives call you "joe sixpack", "joe the plumber", "average joe", etc. they are not identifying with the average person, they are insulting you. They perceive you as low class uneducated people who will buy whatever false information they want you to if they repeat it enough.
  
  Wake up. Refuse to be lied to. Hear through the smear.
  
  Obama / Biden 08 - Not just change we can believe in, change we need!
  - TheNik, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Exactly, but unless these "Joe Six-pack" rednecks are willing to act civilized I'm not sure I want them on my side.
    
    I live in a relatively small town in Middle Tennessee and it pains me to see people like that - the kind of men that wish life was colored in camouflage and have a constant layer of mud on their oversized pickup trucks. While I've met plenty of genuinely intelligent people that act like this - those intelligent people are the scarce minority within that group and the others are just plain ignorant to reality.
- PIPBoy2000, on 11/04/2008, -1/+5Take your bible and burn it plz
- vonbroner, on 11/04/2008, -0/+0Ugh, you scared me because I read "pulls a W" and took that as "George W". Although either way that's scary.
OtterStratton, on 11/04/2008, -1/+34From a different post, same website:
"If there is one shocker on election night in the presidential race, cast your eyes to Georgia. 1,994,990 people voted early in Georgia. 3,301,875 total voted in Georgia's presidential race in 2004.

Let that sink in."

That would be a huge upset.
- falstaff, on 11/04/2008, -3/+2Since when is more people participating in the process an "upset?"
  - FreddieD, on 11/04/2008, -0/+11To be more accurate, it would be an INDICATOR of an upset.
    
    Regardless of your political preference, it is undeniable that more democrats and liberals are more energized over Obama than republicans and conservatives are about McCain. So, a spike in new voters (particularly in a state with many african americans) is a definite indicator in a spike in voting for Obama.
  - yacks, on 11/04/2008, -1/+10More voters normally equate to more votes to the Democrat.. It's why you hear more about voter suppression coming from Republicans and voter fraudulent registrations from the Democrats.
- r00fus, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Updated GA early total is over 2M votes.
woodsjransom, on 11/04/2008, -32/+3Yep I think its time for another Marvin Gaye song ya'll

Hey baby, what'cha know good
I'm just gettin' back, but you knew I would
War is hell, when will it end,
When will people start gettin' together again
Are things really gettin' better,
like the newspaper said
What else is new my friend, besides what I read
Can't find no work, can't find no job my friend
Money is tighter than it's ever been
Say man, I just don't understand
What's going on across this land

Ah what's happening brother,
Oh ya, what's happening my man
Are they still gettin' down where
we used to go and dance
Will our ball club win the pennant,
do you think they have a chance
And tell me friend, how in the world have you been.
Tell me what's out and I want to know what's in.
What's the deal man, what's happening
What's happening brother
Ah what's happening brother
What's happening my man
Ah what's happening brother
What's been shaken up and down the line
I want to know cause I'm slightly behind the time.
built2spill, on 11/04/2008, -6/+43VOTE or GTFO.
- r00fus, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7VOTE then GOTV.
- MxM111, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6Just VOTE. No other options.
  - TheFirstKnight, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6GTFO and GO VOTE
- Vladamir, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4GTFO and VOTE.
dejanigma, on 11/04/2008, -5/+29Demand paper ballots, do not trust a machine designed by a company funded by the GOP!
- orph3us, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4Why can't the whole nation do mail in votes? I just mailed mine in in Oregon... It couldn't have been easier... I can't remember how long ago I got it but it was at least two weeks. Unless you are homeless I can't think of an excuse for not voting. Seems easier than waiting in long lines, getting the motivation to go to a polling place...
  - Whaines, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Plus you can better research the measures and candidates with the ballot in front of you. Also, since we're on the west cost and they're already counting votes on the east coast while our polls are still open the mail in helps counter the people that no longer want to vote after seeing the current results.
- twystoffate, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Colorado machines use an electronic vote with a paper trail printed in a sealed container only visible to the voter (and changeable until final vote cast button is pressed).
  
  It took me 1 hour to stand in line, 2 minutes to hear the guy tell me how to vote, and 40 seconds to actually vote.
AriaStar, on 11/04/2008, -4/+1021.9% is still too high.
- qwer777, on 11/04/2008, -0/+10as of now, it's 1.1%, which is still too high.
FredFredrickson, on 11/04/2008, -2/+13Don't forget to get out and vote today!
- knottriel, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Oh, *****! All this using the internet to read about the election made me forget it.
  
  This isn't getting redundant at all...
  - djgreedo, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1I'm not voting. Go Obama!
eagee, on 11/04/2008, -3/+16Please don't get complacent! Vote first, look for good news after!!!
the2989, on 11/04/2008, -9/+9The only way he really can win is if they ***** with our votes, and it will be obvious if they did or not.
- InRussetShadows, on 11/04/2008, -13/+3What does the GOP have compared to ACORN? Oh yeah that's right -- nothing.
- orlandogeek, on 11/04/2008, -1/+6Really? You're still stuck on the ACORN thing? Look, let's focus on reality here. The ACORN thing has been explained, debunked and disproven ad nauseum. Period.
  - SuperVepr308, on 11/04/2008, -2/+1Really? You might want to tell the Justice Dept that.
burstaneurysm, on 11/04/2008, -7/+129It's dropped to 1.1% now. Get out and vote. Send Palin back to Alaska!
- UberNick, on 11/04/2008, -0/+22While holding a big ass sign "THIS is what a community organizer does!"
- MxM111, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3Still higher than fed rate. Go and VOTE!
- legolas68, on 11/04/2008, -5/+3Sorry to burst your bubble but both you and I know that Governor Palin is on the national scene to stay. You cannot discount the fly-over country. A loss in 2008 will make us that much hungrier when the pendulum swings back in 2012.
  - UberNick, on 11/04/2008, -0/+9If the Republicans continue to harvest incompetent, anti-intellectual, religious bigots, they'll only be competitive in states like Alaska. Sorry to burst your bubble, but when will you wake up and realize that she was a cheap, desperate gimmick of an attempt to divide the country and demean any respect for the intelligence of American women?
  - burstaneurysm, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I wholeheartedly disagree. Palin has become such a liability that it's safe to say her political career ends tonight. She won't be reelected in Alaska and nobody is going to remember who she is in 2012.
  - legolas68, on 11/04/2008, -1/+3Somehow I feel you would have had just as many demeaning talking points for whomever McCain would have picked as a running mate.
    
    Reading the bulk of your historical comments, I find it disheartening to see that you take on the full gambit of the left wing when you personally attack, rather than debate the issues, anyone who doesn't swoon at 0bama. From Joe the Plumber, to Sarah Palin, to others with religious views, and so on. Also, judging by your other comments, you have no right to talk about respect for American women. Or any women for that matter.
Joemagnum, on 11/04/2008, -6/+19It just went down to 1.1%!!! If you haven't already get your ass to the polls and vote people.
Disturbedsavio, on 11/04/2008, -6/+25Is this with or without voting fraud?
- UberNick, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7Nate factors in lower turnout in typically suppressed voter demographics-- although this year those groups will be a lot harder to defraud
MeatMountain, on 11/04/2008, -14/+74ITS OVER .9000!!!
- Puffles, on 11/04/2008, -8/+28This was actually clever. Stop burying it.
- OneEyedParrot, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2Haha. I get it. See guys? It has a decimal point on it.
getbusyliving, on 11/04/2008, -23/+13It's about time these scum of the Earth Repulicunts are kicked the ***** out of office.

It's Obama time.

Obama 08
- InRussetShadows, on 11/04/2008, -15/+7Reported for abuse.
  - mojo784, on 11/04/2008, -3/+9Reported for abuse of abuse reporting.
  - ravamp3, on 11/04/2008, -4/+4Reported for reporting the abuse of abuse reporting.
- orlandogeek, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6Getbusyliving, it's not Republicans that are the problem. There are plenty of good Republicans left. The issue at hand is their party has been co-opted by Neo-Conservative ideals. Check out www.politicalcompass.org, Neo-Cons fall into the chart about middle-right and 3/4 up the Authoritarian scale. The true Republicans usually lean from about middle right to 1/4 up and to the right on the scale.
  - getbusyliving, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2Yeah I guess I should have specified its the scum of the Earth religious fundamentalists that shouldn't be in the White House. I have no problem with the old school Republicans even though I don't agree with them.
  - orlandogeek, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1I'm not a big fan of religious fundamentalism either but being intolerant and hateful, whether you feel that is justified or not, makes you no better than they are.
sugoidesu1987, on 11/04/2008, -6/+6BAM! About time somethin' good happened around here!
DangerCollie, on 11/04/2008, -2/+35This is one time where running up the score is okay. The margin could well dictate the future of politics in this country. If the Republicans get crushed, they might wise up and make some changes.

A long time ago...before Regan...the Republican party was about low taxes, limited government and limited interventionism. It wasn't the angry, divisive party of liars, cheaters and wingnuts it is today. It would be nice to have some civil discussions about the issues again.
- BadseedJR, on 11/04/2008, -1/+7We had that with Ron Paul, but the media dismissed him as a nut and his own party ignored him. Nice pick in McCain though... idiots.
- spellingwitch, on 11/04/2008, -1/+6And the Democratic party isn't angry? Just read some of the comments here.
- SuperVepr308, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1It's REAGAN you doofus.
niradg, on 11/04/2008, -4/+47Innacurate...
It's down to 1.1%
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/todays-poll ...
- UberNick, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7According to intrade, people are 93% sure he'll win. That's with real money on the line. Man, I hope Nate's as accurate as he was during the primaries.
  - secrity, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6I think that it is 94% now.
Natealus, on 11/04/2008, -7/+12BOOOOOOYAH! Obama is the man. We are gonna win back our country!
- SparklingWiggle, on 11/04/2008, -6/+11I love the naivete that comes during presidential elections. People actually think that things will be different, as they did in 06, 04, 02, 00, 98....etc....
  - Enigmocracy, on 11/04/2008, -6/+10Uh, things do change.
    
    We were much worse off after Bush won '00.
    
    We were much better off after Clinton won '92.
    
    We are going to be much better off when Obama wins '08.
    
    Also: There were no presidential elections in half those years.
  - SparklingWiggle, on 11/04/2008, -4/+10"We were much better off after Clinton won '92."
    
    No, we were in the same position as we were under Bush #1 for about 2 years. The economy was in the toilet, etc, and none of the single party legislation did much to alter it. It was only after the unilateral control of the Democrats in congress and the executive was broken up, that we started to crank up the good times.
    
    "We were much worse off after Bush won '00."
    
    No we were worse off after 9/11. Remember, Bush also has the record for highest approval ever. Then single party control of government reared it's ugly head again.
    
    Both branches being run by a single party is rarely a recipe for good. It will continue to be the case here, until the Republicans can get back control of one of the two branches and actually create the checks and balances that only exist in theory, not practice, with a party monopoly.
    
    A strong third party is the best thing that can ever happen to this country. Somebody needs to keep the both the DNC and GOP in check as they move further and further to their polar opposites.
- leetninja, on 11/04/2008, -5/+4you people win nothing ....
  - hippieben, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1what do you mean "you people"
boocher, on 11/04/2008, -2/+37This means nothing. You need to vote.
str3ama, on 11/04/2008, -3/+13never say never...now is when the dirty tricks come out, and the Republicans have a big ol' bag full of them. Intimidating voters, declaring the republican candidate as the forerunner (to entice voters to just vote for them). We've seen it before with the initial election between Bush and Gore.

Even if it's a sure thing, go out and vote. If you don't vote, you don't have a right to complain.
superterrorizer, on 11/04/2008, -5/+53Please, let this be real. My dad and 40 of his veteran pro-NRA friends just went down to the polling booth to vote for Barack. As a Korean Vet, my dad knows the importance of good leadership and in his own words "John McCain had 26 years to do all those things he's promising now."
- InRussetShadows, on 11/04/2008, -34/+8If your dad chooses Obama over McCain, he lost more than that a few pounds of sweat over in Korea -- he lost his common sense. Obama as a leader? That is comedy gold.
  - KarthVader, on 11/04/2008, -1/+12"War does not make one great!"
    - Master Yoda
    
    I'm assuming you said this because McCain is a veteran and former POW.
    
    Just because Obama never served in the military doesn't automatically make him a potentially bad leader. And McCain may not be a great leader because he is a veteran.
    
    Leadership is the act of aligning the people around you to reach a common goal that benefits all. I'll admit I am biased, but so far, myself and most of the country (as seen at fivethirtyeight.com) believe Barack Obama will be the leader we need and deserve.
  - orph3us, on 11/04/2008, -1/+3you're doing it wrong!
- Hush, on 11/04/2008, -28/+4"superterrorizer" is full of it.
  No one who owns a gun would vote for obama.
  - publiclurker, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4Go clutch a bible girly man.
  - darlingt, on 11/04/2008, -0/+8I did.
  - sremick, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7I own several.
    
    And I voted for Obama this morning
  - spearce, on 11/04/2008, -0/+6I own 2. The U.S. Army used to pay me to use theirs in all those places you see in the news.
    
    I voted Obama.
  - Ryan32, on 11/04/2008, -2/+1Something tells me the army probably paid you to sit on a base somewhere and push paper.
    
    Real grunts who really sacrificed wouldn't vote for someone who wants to tear apart the constitution that so many of our friends died for. That goes for Democrat and Republican.
  - Ender06, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3I own several. I just voted for Obama less than an hour ago.
  - thugbrian1, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1is Obama going to take away my guns? haha
- MSUKate, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2I've been saying that McCain has had 30 years to "change" the country, why is he starting now?
kingUssop, on 11/04/2008, -3/+33I'll say this in every voting thread today:

Do NOT buy into the landslide hype unless you go out and vote. There's nothing McCain needs more than people falsely confident and staying home.
Coffeedemon, on 11/04/2008, -1/+17Having an attitude that you can't change anything is the very reason that nothing changes.
Get out and vote.
- tmcal, on 11/04/2008, -0/+0Sorry. I was on that hope bandwagon in 2006. Nancy Pelosi kinda shattered my idealism of democracy in the US. Lots of promises were given out, and after the election there were a lot of heads buried in the sand.
  
  Ever notice how each election is the most important election you will ever be a part of? Yeah. It gets old.
SparklingWiggle, on 11/04/2008, -26/+4So I guess we can all just call off our plans to vote now. According to this site, it's over.
TigerStar337, on 11/04/2008, -20/+5The gamblers have McKKKain at 6% chance.
- PhoenixAvatar2, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1McKKKain? Seriously?
- golfguy6, on 11/05/2008, -0/+1Ignorance
Residents, on 11/04/2008, -5/+32I got my "I voted" sticker. Did you?
- centran, on 11/04/2008, -2/+2yeah.... it's one of the gayest stickers I have worn. That is not to say voting is "gay". I am just saying that the stickers suck.
- xenuxenuts, on 11/04/2008, -0/+9I didn't get a damn sticker, I voted by mail you insensitive clod.
- RobotLeAwesome, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1no, they didn't have any.
- katrayun, on 11/04/2008, -0/+3No. I voted last week and received no sticker.
  
  I'm sad about it.
- RevChris, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1Would be cool to see that sticker in LBP.... but its more cool when people vote
- xDynaBlade, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1They didn't have any in my precinct. Damn old people must have hidden them so I can't get my various freebies.
Me1000, on 11/04/2008, -11/+28Make it 0% people!

Get out and vote!!!!!
OBAMA/BIDEN '08!!!!
kenedamick, on 11/04/2008, -8/+50Good bye Sarah Palin.
- secrity, on 11/04/2008, -4/+16She won't be missed
- Sithlrd, on 11/04/2008, -3/+21Let's hope you can fall back on a deal with Playboy
- dbixler, on 11/04/2008, -3/+18Let's hope you are the Republican's nominee for President in 2012, ensuring another Democratic victory!
  
  PALIN FOR PRESIDENT, 2012!
- mav16, on 11/04/2008, -2/+6Good riddens.
  - Zenham, on 11/04/2008, -0/+7Riddance, but dugg for the intent.
- wcbb, on 11/04/2008, -2/+4You'll be forgotten by everyone except those who watch the pornos made with 'actresses' in your likeness, which seems to be an *easy* look to obtain by many women.
  - i8that4u, on 11/04/2008, -2/+3she is still sadly govenor of alaska -.-'
  - Zenham, on 11/04/2008, -1/+3Considering the way they back her, they deserve her.
UselessTrivia, on 11/04/2008, -0/+11Even if you don't think you need to vote for your guy (whoever that may be) because of your local demographics...you should consider that there are a lot of OTHER things to vote for. You might not think that it matters who is on your public utility board or city council, but I assure you it does.

Those people have more impact on your daily lives than the President of the United States does. The President makes big national decisions, but your local government makes lots and lots of little ones.
bipolarruledout, on 11/04/2008, -5/+3Something tells me that we aren't going to see the end of this election for quite some time.
- FreddieD, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5Very little chance of that.
  
  Watch the early results... if Pennsylvania, North Carolina *and* Virginia go McCain then there is a chance. If Obama wins PA but loses VA/NC, we'll have to see what happens in NM/CO/NV. If Obama wins PA and either VA or NC (very good chance of that with an avg +4 lead in VA and NC is basically a coin flip), it's over.
reuscel, on 11/04/2008, -5/+16I voted in a state that is undoubtedly going blue (MA), and I still waited in line this morning before work. Complacency is Democracy's greatest enemy... after Diebold.
homercles337, on 11/04/2008, -3/+9I wonder if this number includes estimates of voter purging and caging committed by the Repugs.
- KelliShaver, on 11/04/2008, -1/+1It does, yes.
urbandistrict, on 11/04/2008, -2/+6Dugg for great justice
jerrolds, on 11/04/2008, -4/+28Dont ***** this up America. VOTE.
leetninja, on 11/04/2008, -27/+12Write in Ron Paul - President
- wcbb, on 11/04/2008, -3/+2President of what?
- Depthfunction, on 11/04/2008, -1/+6Go ahead! Throw your vote away! Hahahahahaha!
  
  (I'm voting for Kang.)
  - stattek, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2My fellow Americans. As a young boy, I dreamed of being a baseball, but tonight I say, we must move forward, not backward, upward not forward, and always twirling, twirling, twirling towards freedom.
- GlitchEnzo, on 11/04/2008, -0/+4Even Ron Paul himself said not to write him in. Vote for someone else with similar views who is actually on the ballot - like Bob Barr.
- JoeVet, on 11/04/2008, -0/+5I like freedom of religion too much to vote for him. I'm also partial to the right to privacy and equal protection and all the other bill of rights that RP wants to strip from the constitution with his "we the people act".
- TheNik, on 11/04/2008, -0/+1With our system a third party vote is a wasted vote and that's something I wish people would understand :(
  - tmcal, on 11/04/2008, -0/+0And how does that make this the Land of the Free again?
    
    If your choice is between Pepsi and Coke, what kind of choice is that? Or as Bill Hicks might say, there is a puppet on the left and a puppet on the right. But they are controlled by the same guy (or corporation).
- rowjimmy, on 11/05/2008, -0/+2a write in is not the same as a 3rd party vote. in many states a write in is THROWN AWAY (as in not counted); sure, you could claim that a 3rd party vote doesn't count, but it certainly is counted. check your state laws (although if you're reading this by now, it's probably too late) before writing in anybody...
protogenxl, on 11/04/2008, -2/+5What have I said about Tempting Fate!? If I see one balloon before this thing is called...yeah, you BETTER run!
- IglooFu, on 11/04/2008, -0/+2West Wing love!
ScoobyG, on 11/04/2008, -3/+21It's now down to 1.1%.
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FiveThirtyEight: McCain's win chance down to 1.9%

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FiveThirtyEight: McCain's win chance down to 1.9%

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